West Surrey
Unitary Authority· All seats up· 90 total seats
Control:NOC→Reform
Remains no overall control. Reform projected as largest party (33/90 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 15+15
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 9+9
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 13+13
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 46+46
Green
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
31.8%
Labour
17.2%
Lib Dem
16.0%
Conservative
15.1%
Green
12.2%
Ind/Other
7.6%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge