Wakefield

Metropolitan Borough· Yorkshire and The Humber· All seats up· 63 total seats

Control:Labour→Reform

Reform projected to take control from Labour. Reform wins 43 of 63 contested seats as vote shares shift decisively.

Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)

Labour

Now: 54Proj: 3-51

Conservative

Now: 3Proj: 0-3

Lib Dem

Now: 2Proj: 3+1

Reform

Now: 0Proj: 55+55

Green

Now: 0Proj: 2+2

Other/Ind

Now: 4Proj: 0-4

Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.

Reform

39.9%

Labour

19.1%

Conservative

12.4%

Green

11.6%

Lib Dem

9.7%

Ind/Other

7.3%

Labour

Conservative

Reform

Lib Dem

Green

NOC

From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.

Reform surge