Tower Hamlets
London Borough· London· All seats up· 45 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Unique political landscape. Green (15), Labour (13), and Conservative (7) compete, but Aspire (not modelled as a separate party) adds significant uncertainty.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 17Proj: 8-9
Conservative
Now: 1Proj: 6+5
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 9+9
Green
Now: 1Proj: 17+16
Other/Ind
Now: 26Proj: 2-24
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Green
23.7%
Reform
20.5%
Labour
17.8%
Conservative
15.7%
Lib Dem
13.2%
Ind/Other
9.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest