Suffolk County Council
County Council· All seats up· 70 total seats
Control:Conservative→Reform
Third eastern county where Reform challenges Conservative hegemony. Reform projected at 32 of 70 seats; Conservatives drop from 50 to 9.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 9+9
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 43+43
Green
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
36.9%
Labour
16.2%
Green
15.7%
Conservative
14.0%
Lib Dem
10.0%
Ind/Other
7.3%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge