Southwark
London Borough· London· All seats up· 63 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Labour projected as largest party with 29 of 63 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 52Proj: 18-34
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Lib Dem
Now: 11Proj: 10-1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Green
Now: 0Proj: 23+23
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 00
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Green
22.9%
Labour
21.7%
Reform
18.3%
Lib Dem
15.5%
Conservative
13.8%
Ind/Other
7.8%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest