South Tyneside
Metropolitan Borough· North East· All seats up· 54 total seats
Control:Labour→Reform
Reform projected to take control from Labour. Reform wins 29 of 54 contested seats as vote shares shift decisively.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 28Proj: 6-22
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 00
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 00
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 42+42
Green
Now: 9Proj: 6-3
Other/Ind
Now: 17Proj: 0-17
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
38.7%
Labour
22.7%
Green
19.3%
Conservative
10.7%
Lib Dem
1.1%
Ind/Other
7.4%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge