Richmond upon Thames
London Borough· London· All seats up· 54 total seats
Control:Liberal Democrats→NOC
Control changes from Liberal Democrat to no overall control. Lib Dem projected as largest party with 19 of 54 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Lib Dem
Now: 49Proj: 21-28
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Green
Now: 5Proj: 13+8
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Lib Dem
24.6%
Green
19.4%
Conservative
18.6%
Reform
18.3%
Labour
11.4%
Ind/Other
7.8%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest