Norfolk County Council
County Council· All seats up· 84 total seats
Control:Conservative→Reform
Reform projected at 38 seats, challenging Conservative control in this eastern county. The Con-Ref split may hand overall control to neither party.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 10+10
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 51+51
Green
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
37.0%
Labour
17.5%
Lib Dem
13.7%
Conservative
12.7%
Green
11.7%
Ind/Other
7.3%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge