Merton
London Borough· London· All seats up· 60 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Remains no overall control. Labour projected as largest party (19/60 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 30Proj: 12-18
Conservative
Now: 7Proj: 9+2
Lib Dem
Now: 17Proj: 20+3
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Green
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 0-3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Lib Dem
21.2%
Green
19.7%
Conservative
17.8%
Reform
17.7%
Labour
16.1%
Ind/Other
7.4%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest