Kirklees

Metropolitan Borough· Yorkshire and The Humber· All seats up· 69 total seats

Control:Labour→Reform

Remains no overall control. Reform projected as largest party (34/69 seats) but no party reaches a majority.

Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)

Labour

Now: 23Proj: 4-19

Conservative

Now: 16Proj: 2-14

Lib Dem

Now: 10Proj: 5-5

Reform

Now: 0Proj: 49+49

Green

Now: 4Proj: 6+2

Other/Ind

Now: 16Proj: 3-13

Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.

Reform

34.6%

Green

16.9%

Labour

15.5%

Conservative

14.8%

Lib Dem

10.5%

Ind/Other

7.6%

Labour

Conservative

Reform

Lib Dem

Green

NOC

From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.

Reform surge