Kensington and Chelsea
London Borough· London· All seats up· 50 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Conservative projected to hold with 26 of 50 seats. Conservative maintains a comfortable margin despite vote share shifts.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 8Proj: 11+3
Conservative
Now: 36Proj: 23-13
Lib Dem
Now: 2Proj: 0-2
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Green
Now: 1Proj: 8+7
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 30
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
26.3%
Labour
19.9%
Reform
19.5%
Green
14.3%
Lib Dem
12.3%
Ind/Other
7.7%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest