Islington
London Borough· London· All seats up· 48 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Inner London borough where Greens (13 seats) challenge Labour (27) from the left. Jeremy Corbyn’s old territory sees a significant Green insurgency.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 44Proj: 18-26
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Green
Now: 3Proj: 16+13
Other/Ind
Now: 4Proj: 0-4
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Green
23.4%
Labour
23.2%
Reform
19.0%
Conservative
14.2%
Lib Dem
12.3%
Ind/Other
8.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest