Hounslow
London Borough· London· All seats up· 60 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Conservative projected as largest party with 21 of 60 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 50Proj: 11-39
Conservative
Now: 9Proj: 16+7
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 14+14
Green
Now: 0Proj: 10+10
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 6+3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
21.0%
Conservative
20.7%
Green
20.3%
Labour
18.6%
Lib Dem
11.5%
Ind/Other
7.9%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge