Hillingdon
London Borough· London· All seats up· 53 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Control changes from Conservative to no overall control. Conservative projected as largest party with 26 of 53 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 22Proj: 11-11
Conservative
Now: 30Proj: 20-10
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Green
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Other/Ind
Now: 1Proj: 0-1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Conservative
25.1%
Reform
21.6%
Green
17.7%
Labour
17.4%
Lib Dem
10.8%
Ind/Other
7.4%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest