Havant
Shire District· By-thirds (1/3 contested)· 36 total seats
Control:NOC→Reform
Remains no overall control. Labour projected as largest party (6/12 seats) but no party reaches a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 00
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 23+23
Green
Now: 0Proj: 00
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 00
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold. For by-thirds councils, projection covers the 1/3 of seats contested in 2026 overlaid on the existing 2/3.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
33.1%
Labour
27.9%
Conservative
16.1%
Green
8.3%
Lib Dem
6.5%
Ind/Other
8.1%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest