Gateshead
Metropolitan Borough· North East· All seats up· 66 total seats
Control:Labour→Reform
Reform projected at 43 of 66 seats in this north-eastern metro, up from zero. Labour (15) faces its biggest challenge here since the 1970s.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 47Proj: 4-43
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Lib Dem
Now: 18Proj: 1-17
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 57+57
Green
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Other/Ind
Now: 1Proj: 0-1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
37.6%
Labour
19.1%
Green
14.2%
Conservative
11.2%
Lib Dem
10.6%
Ind/Other
7.3%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge