East Sussex County Council
County Council· All seats up· 50 total seats
Control:Conservative→NOC
Southern county where Reform (18) and Lib Dems (13) challenge Conservative (7) control. Three-way contest prevents a clear majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 4+4
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 13+13
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 24+24
Green
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 1+1
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
31.9%
Lib Dem
21.9%
Conservative
13.8%
Labour
13.2%
Green
11.9%
Ind/Other
7.5%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge