Ealing
London Borough· London· All seats up· 69 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Labour projected as largest party with 28 of 69 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 59Proj: 18-41
Conservative
Now: 4Proj: 11+7
Lib Dem
Now: 7Proj: 6-1
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 12+12
Green
Now: 0Proj: 19+19
Other/Ind
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Green
21.7%
Labour
20.3%
Reform
19.0%
Conservative
18.4%
Lib Dem
12.6%
Ind/Other
8.0%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Control contest