Bradford
Metropolitan Borough· Yorkshire and The Humber· All seats up· 90 total seats
Control:Labour→Reform
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Reform projected as largest party with 34 of 90 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 47Proj: 5-42
Conservative
Now: 13Proj: 8-5
Lib Dem
Now: 5Proj: 8+3
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 53+53
Green
Now: 10Proj: 100
Other/Ind
Now: 15Proj: 6-9
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
33.1%
Labour
16.2%
Conservative
15.8%
Green
15.3%
Lib Dem
11.4%
Ind/Other
8.3%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge