Barnet

London Borough· London· All seats up· 63 total seats
Control:LabourNOC

Conservative projected to take control from Labour. Conservative wins 33 of 63 contested seats as vote shares shift decisively.

Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)

Labour
Now: 39Proj: 11-28
Conservative
Now: 20Proj: 27+7
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 2+2
Reform
Now: 1Proj: 10+9
Green
Now: 0Proj: 8+8
Other/Ind
Now: 3Proj: 5+2
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.

Projected Vote Shares

Conservative
25.8%
Reform
19.5%
Green
18.8%
Labour
18.7%
Lib Dem
9.7%
Ind/Other
7.5%

Control Probabilities

Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%

From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.

What to watch

Control contest