Barking and Dagenham
London Borough· London· All seats up· 51 total seats
Control:Labour→NOC
Control changes from Labour to no overall control. Labour projected as largest party with 20 of 51 seats, but multi-party fragmentation prevents a majority.
Seat Projection (Current vs Projected)
Labour
Now: 49Proj: 12-37
Conservative
Now: 0Proj: 6+6
Lib Dem
Now: 0Proj: 3+3
Reform
Now: 0Proj: 23+23
Green
Now: 0Proj: 5+5
Other/Ind
Now: 2Proj: 20
Faded bar = current seats. Solid bar = projected. Dashed line = majority threshold.
Projected Vote Shares
Reform
25.2%
Labour
20.1%
Green
18.2%
Conservative
17.0%
Lib Dem
11.7%
Ind/Other
7.8%
Control Probabilities
Labour
0%
Conservative
0%
Reform
0%
Lib Dem
0%
Green
0%
NOC
0%
From 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Confidence: medium.
What to watch
Reform surge